Hi Josh and Brian, I've made lots of remarks. It took me a while, so please don't just junk 'em. On the other hand, I'm not a microbiologist, or any kind of a biologist, so the style I prefer may not be appropriate for the intended audience. I won't be offended if you don't take my suggestions. I hope you'll consider them though. - Jason Page/Paragraph Line/remark 1/1/10 "Research studies [indicate that] some of these intrinsic..." 1/last/last I might consider changing the last sentence to "These models may be fit to observed data and used for statistical inference about growth and death rates in microbial populations of interest." 2/1/1-2 "One common disadvantage of these models is that they are not sufficiently complex to accomodate populations exhibiting both growth and decline over time." 2/1/5-6 "This approach ... decline phase [] in the model." 2/2/2 "Although...systems, [there may be opportunity for useful application] in other systems such as live animal production environments." 4/2/1 "A complete, crossed factorial ..." 4/2/5 "and the date [were] used to validata ..." 6/3/7 Can the equation [log N = Yhat + epsilon] be centered? I have not seen a statistical model written this way before. Typically, Yhat indicates a prediction of random quantity from data. In general, hats convey dependence on observed data. The model statement doesn't need a hat. Almost all models such as yours, with additive errors, are written in the general form [ response = mean + error ]. Then the mean is estimated from data (and that estimate is denoted using a hat.) Just because Membre et all used the Yhat doesn't mean you have to. Also, I don't agree with the term "adjusted value." I've attached a few sentences giving an alternative presentation of the model. In any event, it might look nice to center model equations. 7/last and 8/first - I give an alternative presentation of the methods of analysis for the D-values which you can read. To compare the two columns in Table 3, I can think of three things: 1) computing their correlation coefficient, which is r=.999 2) checking that a the predicted D-values fall within 95% confidence limits (or more appropriately, the even-wider 95% prediction limits) based on the observed D-values 3) A paired t-test using the 9 differences. I suggest these things in my presentation below, which says the same things that you say on the end of page 7 and beginning of page 8. I was uncertain about the multiple comparisons bit. Did you use Tukey? "Analysis of variance of the 36 observed D-values was carried out using the GLM procedure of SAS [citation]. This ANOVA involved main and interaction effects for water activity and pH. Subsequent multiple comparisons among means for the nine treatment combinations were carried out using Tukey's procedure. Agreement between the observed D-values and those predicted by the model was investigated by computing their correlation coefficient, by checking that the predicted values were within two standard errors of the observed mean D-values and using a paired t-test of the 9 differences." 11/2/3 "... no significant differences were observed, [ indicating the plausibility] of the models ..." 11/3/lst two lines : Log N0 was [treated as a known parameter and assigned a Salmonella log population count of 7 at time 0. 12/2/14- 15 "Both exponential ..." You already did a good job of explaining the general inactivation model on page 7 and indicated that it would be used for populations not exhibiting any growth. Does that make these two lines redundant? (I can see why you've revisited them here on page 12, I'm just asking though.) 13/1/2 "...representing the intercept and [slope for Aw], respectively." 13/1/4 "...representing the intercept, and slopes for pH and Aw, respectively." 13/2/4 "... are evident in Figure 4 [;] Salmonella populations declined..." 13/2/8-9 "... with b1 andb2 parameter estimate[s] of 0.02 and ..." 13/2/10 and 13/2/12. It doesn't make sense to me report a 95% confidence interval and to indicate "(P<0.05)". Whether or not the pvalue is less than .05 is indicated by whether or not the hypothesized value for the parameter falls in the 95% confidence interval. I suggest removing both (P<0.05)s. 14/2/7 The statement that lower MSE indicates a more adequate model is a little dicey. It really only indicates the variability of the response about the model for the mean. You can have the mean specified perfectly and still have variability about the mean (and substantial MSE). I recommend omitting "lower the MSE and the" 14/2/13 Should "S. Typhimurium" be italicized? 14/2/14 "This comparison [suggests] that the Churchill ..." 15/2/3 "...predicted values of the pH 7 [] general inactivation..." 20/2/2 "... limitations and should not be [] relied upon [by themselves] In Table 3 on page 29, I'm not clear on what SEM(4)=2.42, near the bottom, is meant to indicate. Is this sqrt(MSE/3), the estimated standard error for any of the 9 means, each of which is based on n=3 replicates? If so, then it is estimated with 18 degrees of freedom, which is the residual degrees of freedom if the entire experiment was carried out: total df = (model df) + (error df) 26 = 8 + 18 Also, you might consider arranging these means and predicted values this table as a 3X3 table, with pH as rows and Aw as columns, to convey the response surface. You could probably squeeze both observed mean D-values and model-predicted D-values into one cell, as I've done in the attachment.